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Play-1 numbers: speculative-decoding acceptance inversion, dual-verified

The nmax2 drafter's acceptance inversion against a draft-12 control — 72.2% vs 22.7%. · 2026-09-28
Limits that travel with this piece: Single lab, single box-class; no external reproduction claimed.

Play-1: the acceptance-inversion result (first public release)

Measured on our floor: the nmax2 drafter inverts acceptance against the draft-12 control — 72.2% vs 22.7% — with the control at 17.5 tok/s and nmax2-np2 at 25.4 (nmax3 28.5, nmax4 23.9). Engine verdict: HIP 20.8 tok/s over Vulkan 9.2 on the same box.

Every figure is dual-verified (receipt: research/floor-optimization/window4/W4-VERIFICATION-RECEIPT-20260925.md). The acceptance inversion leads because it is the question the field is actively confused by.

Limits: single lab, single box-class, our workloads. No external reproduction claimed.